So without further ado, I'll wheel down the top contenders who I find to have a legitimate shot at the BCS title picture, then address the various scenarios that may play out, and so finish by enlightening all reading who I currently believe should play in the national title game (like if it was to be played today!!).
[......Oh, and just like anyone else who has even had a remote interest in football or universities, I have a favorite team as well--actually I have two teams: U of Alabama and Ohio State. Regardless of that, since I am in fact quite open-minded, and more so look to logic and fairness, I have the ability to draw criticism to even those teams (and I surely will in the following feature!!).]
First, let's start out with numero uno:
ummm.....Houston, we have a problem! <--actually....NO! Houston may be undefeated as well...sure....but we aren't buying in!!...Boise has an outstanding track record over the past several years and proven competition against big name schools. For you critics, this is the dark side of college football that we can't see just one undefeated or none at all (with one/two loss champ) at the end of the season via having a playoff system.
I can go through and name off Oklahoma, Oregon, and Arkansas next but their national title hopes are all but dashed. (SEE WHY BELOW!!)
NOW, here is my take on the next couple weeks and who I like in the National Title game. This week hosts Stanford and Oregon. I see Stanford winning out with a battered Oregon team in LaMichael James and Darron Thomas. I see Oklahoma getting Oklahoma State on Dec. 3. LSU SHOULD beat Arkansas on Nov. 25th.
In fact, I'm going to have go out on a limb to say that #1 LSU IS GUARANTEED A SPOT AT THE NATIONAL TITLE GAME!...with a SOOOO seemingly imminent threat-for-losses against both Oklahoma State and Stanford from Oklahoma and Oregon respectively (or other teams?!?!...remember, it's college ball!!), even a one-loss LSU (by Arkansas) would still put them over the hump of Alabama (9-6 win), Boise State, and any other 1-loss teams. I clearly don't see voters putting Arkansas ahead of both LSU and Alabama in final BCS polls and SEC is the top conference right now.
#2 Oklahoma State is in the title game if they can hold off Oklahoma (thanks to #1 ranking in computers). If not, they must fall behind Oklahoma who is already out of the picture.
I think #3 Alabama is done since they need too many things to happen. They need Oklahoma State and Stanford to lose. Then they need to convince the media to play two teams from the same conference (LSU is in, remember) to play for the title game. They didn't do it with Ohio State and Michigan in 2006 since they voted on who they wanted to see in the game (a fresh matchup) versus the two best teams in the title game.
#4 Stanford need Oklahoma State to lose to get ahead in the polls since the computers are dragging them back. They first must jump that Oregon hurdle first. One step at a time, Stanford, one step at a time!
#5 Boise State is just simply out. They have a good argument if only one other undefeated team remains. If everybody loses a game, Boise State is going to have a field day!! (obviously, disregard Houston!!)
#6 Oklahoma is OUT!! A bad loss at Texas Tech is enough to make a argument that other 1-loss teams have a "better" loss. A win against Oklahoma State should help, but there is too much (as with Alabama) that needs to happen to get Oklahoma back into it...like getting Stanford to lose. In fact, I bet voters will keep Boise State ahead of Oklahoma just because of their 2006 Fiesta bowl accident.
#7 Oregon is OUT!! Yes, they do only have one loss to LSU, who is #1. That's supposed to give them the leg up if it's only LSU remaining undefeated at the end of the season. Both LaMichael James and Darron Thomas have been injured which severely hurts their chances against a powerful Stanford team which whom I've already considered they've lost to. Even though crazy does happen in college football, this is one time they are not going to make it!! End of story!
#8 Arkansas is another OUT!! Okay, so if they do beat LSU, they will go into a three-way tie with Alabama and LSU (if everybody wins except LSU against Arkansas...okay you get it!)...according to BCS protocol, I understand it is the highest ranked team who gets to play for SEC championship, and win there sending them to the title game! Voters are not going to put Arkansas ahead of LSU and Alabama, not since that EPIC defensive showdown between those two. Arkansas doesn't have that kind of showmanship of stretch and fortitude to capture the voters. They are out.
I can list off Clemson, Virginia Tech, and others but they 99.9% have no way into the title discussion.
Who I like in the title match is easy: LSU vs. Alabama! That was the title game we saw!!! It's not going to happen because I don't think both Stanford and Oklahoma St. are BOTH going to lose. Probably one of them; PLACE NO MONEY THAT THEY BOTH WIN OUT!
So with that, it's not who I like in the title match, but who I see in the national championship title match:
LSU vs. Stanford.
LSU is not going to lose the rest of the way and Stanford is going to win against Oregon...you can't be serious!! to say they lose to Cal or Notre Dame; That's like saying LSU loses to Ole Miss!
If you've read this far, THANK YOU!! PLEASE SEE MY OTHER POSTS IN COLLEGE FOOTBALL!!